Okay, so I’ve been diving deep into this Reilly Opelka vs. Jordan Thompson match-up, and let me tell you, it’s been a bit of a rollercoaster.

First off, I started by looking at the basic info. Who are these guys? Where are they ranked? Reilly Opelka, ranked 371, and Jordan Thompson, sitting much higher at 33. Okay, that’s a big difference.
Then, I dug into some predictions. One source said Opelka has a 53% chance of winning, another said 52%. Seems like it’s gonna be close, right? I mean, those numbers aren’t too far apart.
But then I saw another prediction saying that Thompson should win in 3 sets. That threw a wrench in my initial thoughts. I mean, if Thompson is ranked so much higher, shouldn’t he be the clear favorite? But the probability percentages were telling a different story.
So, I started looking at the odds. Some places had Opelka favored over Thompson, with odds like -125. I’m thinking, “What’s going on here?” It felt like every source I checked was giving me a different angle.
I spent a good chunk of time just reading through articles and predictions. One mentioned that this is the round of 32 at the Citi Open. Okay, that gives me a bit of context. It’s an important match, so both players are gonna be bringing their A-game.

After all this digging, I’m still not 100% sure who’s gonna win. It’s like trying to predict the weather – you can look at all the data, but sometimes it just comes down to chance.
But hey, that’s what makes it exciting, right? I guess I’ll just have to tune in on Wednesday to see how it all plays out. This match is shaping up to be a real nail-biter, and I wouldn’t miss it for the world.
It feels a little all over the place, but that’s just how it goes sometimes when you’re trying to figure this stuff out. My brain is a little fried after all this, but it’s been a fun ride for sure.
Ultimately, I leaned towards trusting the initial probability percentages I found. It might seem counterintuitive, but I decided to predict that Reilly Opelka will win.
- Reilly Opelka to win
My Prediction
It’s just a gut feeling, based on the mixed signals and data I’ve gathered. I could be totally wrong, but that’s part of the fun, isn’t it?
