Alright, let’s talk about how I tried to figure out that Ben Shelton vs Aslan Karatsev match. It wasn’t super scientific, more like going through my usual routine when I look at a matchup.

My Thought Process Step-by-Step
First off, I just thought about the players themselves. What comes to mind?
- Shelton: Young guy, lefty, huge serve, lots of energy, seems to be improving fast. Still pretty new on the scene overall, though.
- Karatsev: Bit older, very powerful hitter, especially that backhand. Can look like a world-beater one day and then spray errors the next. A real hot-and-cold player.
Then, I tried to remember how they’d been playing recently. This is always a big one for me. You can’t just look at names.
I recall Shelton having some decent results, looking pretty confident on court. He seems to be settling into the tour grind. For Karatsev, it felt like more of a mixed bag lately. Some good wins here and there, but also some unexpected losses. Consistency seemed like maybe an issue for him compared to Shelton right now.
Next step was thinking about the matchup itself. How do their styles collide?
- Shelton’s big lefty serve could really bother Karatsev, especially getting it out wide on the ad court.
- Karatsev hits so flat and hard, if he finds his range, he could rush Shelton and maybe break down his defenses.
- It felt like a match that could have big swings in momentum. Lots of power on both sides.
I also considered the court surface, assuming it was a standard hard court, which both guys generally play well on. Shelton’s serve gets a good kick, and Karatsev can hammer the ball on it. So, no huge advantage there maybe, but Shelton’s serve is maybe slightly more of a weapon day-in, day-out on hard compared to Karatsev’s groundies which can vary.

Did they play before? I didn’t immediately recall a string of matches between them. If they had played recently, that would have weighed heavily, but without a strong head-to-head history in my mind, I put less weight on that.
Wrapping Up My Thoughts
So, putting it all together… I saw Shelton as maybe being a bit more reliable at that moment. His form seemed steadier, and that serve is a massive advantage, something he can count on even if other parts of his game aren’t firing perfectly.
Karatsev has the raw power to beat almost anyone when he’s ‘on’. But the risk felt higher. Would the good Karatsev show up, or the one making lots of errors? It’s hard to predict.
Because of the consistency factor and the serve weapon, I ended up leaning towards Shelton for the win. It felt like the safer pick, though I knew Karatsev definitely had the potential to pull off the upset if he played his best tennis. That was basically my process, just thinking through the players, their recent form, and how they might match up on the day.